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USD
MARKET IS STRONGLY BULLISH USD
→ steady (Δ24h = +0.01)
snapshot 2026-05-30 19:00:00 · n_active = 319 stories with weight > 0.01 · posterior = +0.44 · half-life: news 168h / rumor 72h
sources: ForexLive: 457 · FXStreet: 171 · Reuters: 89 · Bloomberg: 18 · US Department of Treasury: 16 · Anonymous DC political reporter via Politico blog: 12 · Wall Street Journal: 11 · Politico DC reporter: 8
Bullish USD headlines (256)
Fed Governor Barr: 'Inflation progress uneven, patience needed on cuts'
BULLISH USD T1 · Reuters · in gauge · 2026-05-18 09:00:40
NY Fed survey shows hedge funds net short EUR/USD at 3-week high
BULLISH USD T1 · Bloomberg · in gauge · 2026-05-18 09:00:40
Unconfirmed: Treasury considering accelerated T-bill issuance to fund deficit, per DC source
BULLISH USD T2 [rumor] · Politico DC reporter tip · in gauge · 2026-05-30 12:00:27
Fed Governor Waller off-script: 'No rush on cuts if inflation sticky'
BULLISH USD T2 [rumor] · local Iowa radio interview · in gauge · 2026-05-30 12:00:27
Unconfirmed: Treasury considering quiet FX swap line tweak with BoJ to ease USD funding stress
BULLISH USD T2 [rumor] · Nikkei local desk · in gauge · 2026-05-30 07:00:30
Fed Governor Goolsbee off-script: 'Data-dependent but no rush on cuts'
BULLISH USD T2 [rumor] · Chicago Fed event transcript leak · in gauge · 2026-05-30 07:00:30
White House trade team leak: new China tariff list draft circulating internally
BULLISH USD T2 [rumor] · Politico DC reporter · in gauge · 2026-05-30 07:00:30
Unconfirmed: Treasury considering FX swap line tweaks with BoJ
BULLISH USD T2 [rumor] · Nikkei local desk · in gauge · 2026-05-29 20:00:30
White House trade advisor off-record: Tariffs on China may expand Q3
BULLISH USD T2 [rumor] · DC reporter @TradeScoopDC · in gauge · 2026-05-29 20:00:30
Dealer chatter: EM central bank bought $1.2bn spot USD via proxy yesterday
BULLISH USD T2 [rumor] · interbank desk · in gauge · 2026-05-26 09:00:32
Unconfirmed: Treasury considering accelerated T-bill issuance to fund deficit
BULLISH USD T2 [rumor] · DC political reporter @jmart · in gauge · 2026-05-24 13:00:28
Fed Governor Goolsbee interview: no rush on cuts if data holds
BULLISH USD T2 · Chicago Fed local media · in gauge · 2026-05-24 10:00:31
Treasury auction tail widens to 2.3bp on 10Y, dealer chatter points to reduced foreign bid
BULLISH USD T2 · Bloomberg terminal chat · in gauge · 2026-05-19 13:00:40
Unconfirmed: Treasury considering 3-month bill issuance tweak to ease funding pressure
BULLISH USD T2 [rumor] · DC policy reporter @fiscalwatch · in gauge · 2026-05-19 12:00:36
Fed Governor Goolsbee off-script remarks to local Chicago media hint at patience on cuts
BULLISH USD T2 [rumor] · Chicago Tribune · in gauge · 2026-05-19 08:00:56
Unconfirmed: BoJ officials privately discussing USD buying intervention if yen breaches 160
BULLISH USD T2 [rumor] · Nikkei local reporter @nikkei_fx · in gauge · 2026-05-18 14:00:45
White House trade team leaks possible new China tariff review timeline for Q3
BULLISH USD T2 [rumor] · WSJ DC bureau tip · in gauge · 2026-05-18 14:00:45
Unconfirmed: Treasury considering 3y note size tweak for Q3
BULLISH USD T2 [rumor] · WSJ DC reporter leak · in gauge · 2026-05-18 13:00:38
White House trade advisor off-record: Tariffs on China autos still under review
BULLISH USD T2 [rumor] · Politico tip · in gauge · 2026-05-18 13:00:38
White House trade advisor leak on new China tariff timing
BULLISH USD T2 [rumor] · DC political reporter @jaketapper · in gauge · 2026-05-18 12:00:47
Rumor: EM central bank quietly buying USD via forwards ahead of FOMC
BULLISH USD T2 [rumor] · Interbank chat leak via @fxflowinsider · in gauge · 2026-05-18 10:00:43
White House trade advisor leaks possible new tariffs on China autos by June
BULLISH USD T2 [rumor] · Politico DC reporter · in gauge · 2026-05-18 09:00:40
Unconfirmed: BOJ officials told local media they may pause hikes if USD/JPY spikes above 155
BULLISH USD T2 [rumor] · Nikkei local scoop · in gauge · 2026-05-18 09:00:40
Treasury auction tail widens on 10Y notes, signaling foreign demand drop
BULLISH USD T2 · WSJ · in gauge · 2026-05-18 09:00:40
Unconfirmed: White House trade advisor floated new China tariff trial balloon in off-record call with regional reporters
BULLISH USD T2 [rumor] · DC political reporter @TradeScoopDC · in gauge · 2026-05-18 08:00:45
White House considering new China tariffs on EVs and chips
BULLISH USD T2 [rumor] · Politico DC reporter · in gauge · 2026-05-18 02:00:44
Fed governor Goolsbee signals openness to slower cuts in local interview
BULLISH USD T2 [rumor] · Chicago Fed event transcript · in gauge · 2026-05-18 02:00:44
Unconfirmed: Treasury considering off-cycle auction size tweak for 10Y
BULLISH USD T2 [rumor] · DC local reporter tip via @FiscalWatch · in gauge · 2026-05-17 22:00:37
Unconfirmed: Treasury considering 3-week bill issuance tweak to ease funding stress
BULLISH USD T2 [rumor] · WSJ DC bureau leak · in gauge · 2026-05-17 20:00:35
Rumor: EM central bank bought $1.2bn USD via NY desk at 16:30 EST fix
BULLISH USD T2 [rumor] · Interbank chat @fxflowwhisper · in gauge · 2026-05-17 20:00:35
+226 more
Bearish USD headlines (116)
Fed Governor Waller signals openness to June cut if PCE softens
BEARISH USD T1 · Bloomberg · in gauge · 2026-05-18 16:00:39
Fed Governor Waller signals openness to 50bp cut if CPI cools further
BEARISH USD T1 · Bloomberg · in gauge · 2026-05-16 06:00:36
US Treasury auctions 10-year notes with slight tail, signaling demand weakness
BEARISH USD T1 · Bloomberg · in gauge · 2026-05-13 06:00:58
US CPI preliminary print shows slight miss on core inflation
BEARISH USD T1 · Bureau of Labor Statistics · in gauge · 2026-05-10 11:01:03
Dealer chatter: Real money accounts trimming long USD positions into month-end
BEARISH USD T2 [rumor] · interbank NY desk · in gauge · 2026-05-30 12:00:27
Single-source: Fed governor floated 25bp cut trial balloon in private meeting
BEARISH USD T2 [rumor] · regional financial blog · in gauge · 2026-05-26 09:00:32
Unconfirmed: Treasury considering delay on new China tariffs to Q3
BEARISH USD T2 [rumor] · DC political reporter @jaketapper off-record · in gauge · 2026-05-24 10:00:31
Rumor: EM central bank swapped $2bn USD reserves into EUR overnight
BEARISH USD T2 [rumor] · Interbank dealer chat via local blog · in gauge · 2026-05-24 10:00:31
White House trade advisor off-script: 'tariffs not immediate'
BEARISH USD T2 · Reuters DC feed · in gauge · 2026-05-24 10:00:31
Unconfirmed: Treasury considering FX intervention trial balloon to cap USD strength
BEARISH USD T2 [rumor] · DC political reporter @mikeallen · in gauge · 2026-05-19 08:00:56
White House considering 90-day delay on new China tariffs, sources say
BEARISH USD T2 [rumor] · Politico DC reporter · in gauge · 2026-05-18 16:00:39
Unusual 3-week USD/JPY swap spread widening seen in Tokyo interbank market
BEARISH USD T2 [rumor] · Nikkei local desk · in gauge · 2026-05-18 16:00:39
Treasury auction tail widens to 2.8bp on 10y note, first in 8 months
BEARISH USD T2 · TreasuryDirect · in gauge · 2026-05-18 16:00:39
EM central bank reserve manager seen buying EUR/USD spot above 1.0850
BEARISH USD T2 [rumor] · Reuters FX chat leak · in gauge · 2026-05-18 16:00:39
NY Fed Empire State Manufacturing May print at -9.5 vs -5.0 expected
BEARISH USD T2 · NY Fed · in gauge · 2026-05-18 14:00:45
Interbank chat: real-money accounts trimming long USD via 2W forwards
BEARISH USD T2 [rumor] · NY dealer whisper · in gauge · 2026-05-17 14:00:33
Interbank chatter on EM central bank USD reserve rebalancing flows
BEARISH USD T2 [rumor] · Tokyo dealer desk · in gauge · 2026-05-17 02:00:38
Treasury auction tail widens to 3bp on 10Y notes
BEARISH USD T2 · WSJ · in gauge · 2026-05-16 13:00:51
Unconfirmed: Treasury considering verbal intervention on USD strength
BEARISH USD T2 [rumor] · @jsblokland · in gauge · 2026-05-16 09:00:40
Dealer chatter: Real money accounts trimming long USD positions post-housing data
BEARISH USD T2 [rumor] · Interbank voice · in gauge · 2026-05-16 09:00:40
NY Fed Empire State manufacturing index prints -9.2 vs +5.0 expected
BEARISH USD T2 · NY Fed · in gauge · 2026-05-16 06:00:36
Treasury auction tail widens to 2.8bp on 10Y notes, dealer chatter points to foreign selling
BEARISH USD T2 [rumor] · ISDA swap desk · in gauge · 2026-05-16 06:00:36
Treasury auction tail widens on 10Y notes, dealer chatter points to foreign selling
BEARISH USD T2 [rumor] · ISDA swap desk note · in gauge · 2026-05-15 20:01:04
Single-source: EM central bank swapped $2bn USD reserves into EUR overnight
BEARISH USD T2 [rumor] · Singapore financial blog · in gauge · 2026-05-15 16:00:36
Unconfirmed leak: Treasury auction for 10-year notes shows unexpected tail, hinting at weak demand from foreign buyers
BEARISH USD T2 [rumor] · Whisper from interbank dealer via @WallStreetWire · in gauge · 2026-05-15 07:01:11
US Treasury 10-year auction sees minor tail extension to 4.25%, drawing weaker foreign demand
BEARISH USD T2 · US Department of Treasury · in gauge · 2026-05-15 06:01:03
Whispers of unusual USD selling by EM central banks ahead of IMF meetings
BEARISH USD T2 [rumor] · Interbank dealer chat via anonymous trader on financial blog · in gauge · 2026-05-15 06:01:03
Unconfirmed leak suggests Fed Governor Bowman considering dissent on upcoming rate path in private interview
BEARISH USD T2 [rumor] · DC political reporter @CapHillScoop · in gauge · 2026-05-15 04:01:04
Scooped: White House leak on potential trade tariffs affecting USD flows
BEARISH USD T2 [rumor] · Axios DC insider post · in gauge · 2026-05-15 02:01:01
Unconfirmed leak suggests Treasury Secretary Yellen discussing new trade tariffs with EU in off-record call
BEARISH USD T2 [rumor] · Anonymous DC reporter via Politico blog · in gauge · 2026-05-15 00:01:05
+86 more
Neutral USD headlines (764) — don't move the score
Forecasting the upcoming week: The US Dollar fell as ceasefire hopes supported risk sentiment
NEUTRAL T2 · FXStreet · in gauge · 2026-05-29 20:07:41
US Bessent on Iran blockade says anything that is taken off will be taken off slowly
NEUTRAL T2 · ForexLive · in gauge · 2026-05-29 19:58:45
investingLive Americas FX news wrap: Trump touts naval blockade lift, progress toward deal
NEUTRAL T2 · ForexLive · in gauge · 2026-05-29 19:31:58
Trump did not reach a decision on any new deal with Iran after Situation Room meeting
NEUTRAL T2 · ForexLive · in gauge · 2026-05-29 18:59:13
Gold climbs on US‑Iran ceasefire progress as Fed rate hike bets fade
NEUTRAL T2 · FXStreet · in gauge · 2026-05-29 18:49:30
How have interest rate expectations changed after this week's event?
NEUTRAL T2 · ForexLive · in gauge · 2026-05-29 18:22:10
Iran's Baghaei: No agreement has been finalised with the United States so far
NEUTRAL T2 · ForexLive · in gauge · 2026-05-29 17:31:37
Blockade lift announcement by Trump seen as first step toward broader US-Iran agreement
NEUTRAL T2 · ForexLive · in gauge · 2026-05-29 16:27:46
Dow Jones Industrial Average buys the Iran deal Trump described, not the one being negotiated
NEUTRAL T2 · FXStreet · in gauge · 2026-05-29 16:24:11
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD struggles for direction despite US-Iran deal hopes, softer US Dollar
NEUTRAL T2 · FXStreet · in gauge · 2026-05-29 16:23:53
Iran's Fars News says Iranian sources deny Trump's latest comments
NEUTRAL T2 · ForexLive · in gauge · 2026-05-29 15:44:33
Major US stock indices extend gains to new record highs on US-Iran deal optimism
NEUTRAL T2 · ForexLive · in gauge · 2026-05-29 14:00:16
Fed's Paulson says healthy for markets to shift to tighter monetary policy outlook
NEUTRAL T2 · ForexLive · in gauge · 2026-05-29 13:33:55
Iran's top negotiator Ghalibaf: We gain concessions not with talks, but with missiles
NEUTRAL T2 · ForexLive · in gauge · 2026-05-29 13:08:27
Fed's Bowman says progress on lowering inflation has stalled
NEUTRAL T2 · ForexLive · in gauge · 2026-05-29 13:05:20
Canada Q1 GDP -0.1% vs +1.5% expected
NEUTRAL T2 · ForexLive · in gauge · 2026-05-29 12:30:06
Germany May preliminary CPI +2.6% vs +2.9% y/y expected
NEUTRAL T2 · ForexLive · in gauge · 2026-05-29 12:00:05
investingLive European markets wrap: A steadier mood as US-Iran deal still awaited
NEUTRAL T2 · ForexLive · in gauge · 2026-05-29 11:54:28
Fed policymaker Schmid: My primary concern is inflation, which is too hot
NEUTRAL T2 · ForexLive · in gauge · 2026-05-29 10:42:46
Gold clings to gains above $4,500; upside seems limited on firmer USD, Fed bets, Iran risks
NEUTRAL T2 · FXStreet · in gauge · 2026-05-29 08:09:49
USD/CHF Price Forecast: US Dollar clings above 0.7830 with bearish pressure growing
NEUTRAL T2 · FXStreet · in gauge · 2026-05-29 08:08:18
Forex Today: Yet to be confirmed US-Iran MOU caps US Dollar's upside
NEUTRAL T2 · FXStreet · in gauge · 2026-05-29 08:07:10
Japan chief cabinet secretary says extremely concerned about speculative FX moves
NEUTRAL T2 · ForexLive · in gauge · 2026-05-29 07:24:50
Australian Dollar struggles as RBA rate hike odds decrease
NEUTRAL T2 · FXStreet · in gauge · 2026-05-29 05:56:18
Indian Rupee opens higher on renewed US-Iran deal optimism
NEUTRAL T2 · FXStreet · in gauge · 2026-05-29 05:23:44
Gold bulls seem hesitant as Iran uncertainty and Fed hike bets support US Dollar
NEUTRAL T2 · FXStreet · in gauge · 2026-05-29 05:08:29
Deal or no deal? Markets continue to eye US-Iran headlines ahead of the weekend
NEUTRAL T2 · ForexLive · in gauge · 2026-05-29 04:54:24
Swiss Franc declines as market caution lifts USD
NEUTRAL T2 · FXStreet · in gauge · 2026-05-29 03:41:46
Gold pauses recovery as firm US inflation reaffirms Fed hike bets amid Iran uncertainty
NEUTRAL T2 · FXStreet · in gauge · 2026-05-29 03:41:32
Dollar faces renewed strength if US-Iran talks fail, MUFG warns
NEUTRAL T2 · ForexLive · in gauge · 2026-05-29 02:57:51
+734 more
Prediction-market contracts mentioning USD (83)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
29% Yes · Δ24h -11.5pp · polymarket · US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
70% Yes · Δ24h -16.5pp · polymarket · US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
12% Yes · Δ24h -63.5pp · polymarket · Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
70% Yes · Δ24h +0.2pp · polymarket · Iran leader end of 2026?
Will China overtake US GDP by 2030?
19% Yes · Δ24h +0.0pp · kalshi · China overtakes USA’s economy by 2030?
Will Trump bring back manufacturing? — Before 2029
11% Yes · Δ24h -3.0pp · kalshi · Will Trump bring back manufacturing?
Will government spending decrease by 250 before 2028? — At least 250 billion
15% Yes · Δ24h +0.0pp · kalshi · How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends?
Will the national debt hit $45 trillion during the Trump Administration?
84% Yes · Δ24h +0.0pp · kalshi · Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration
Will the national debt hit $50 trillion during the Trump Administration?
41% Yes · Δ24h -1.0pp · kalshi · Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration
Will quarterly GDP be above 5% in any quarter in Q1 2025 to Q4 2028?
51% Yes · Δ24h +0.0pp · kalshi · Will there be a Trump economic boom?
Will Trump recognize Somaliland? — Before Jan 20, 2029
13% Yes · Δ24h +0.0pp · kalshi · Will Trump recognize Taiwan?
Will Trump impose martial law before his term ends? — Before Jan 20, 2029
30% Yes · Δ24h -1.0pp · kalshi · Will Trump impose martial law before his term ends?
Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with China before Jan 20, 2029? — Before 2029
34% Yes · Δ24h -9.0pp · kalshi · Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with China?
Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with any country before Jan 20, 2029? — Before 2029
41% Yes · Δ24h +0.0pp · kalshi · Will Trump make a new free trade agreement?
Will Trump end the Federal Reserve before Jan 20, 2029?
11% Yes · Δ24h +0.0pp · kalshi · Will Trump end the Federal Reserve?
Will Trump impose capital controls before 2029?
17% Yes · Δ24h +0.0pp · kalshi · Will Trump impose capital controls?
Will Trump take back the Panama Canal? — During Trump's term
30% Yes · Δ24h +0.0pp · kalshi · Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?
Will Israel and Syria normalize relations before Jan 20, 2029?
20% Yes · Δ24h +0.0pp · kalshi · Will Israel and Syria normalize relations during Trump's term?
Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before Jan 20, 2029? — During Trump's term
43% Yes · Δ24h +0.0pp · kalshi · Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations during Trump's term?
Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations before Jan 20, 2029?
18% Yes · Δ24h +3.0pp · kalshi · Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations during Trump's term?